Tag Archives: peripheral bonds

Macroview There is a risk that government will not be able to serve full term, but markets are now becoming more focused on the Italian referendum in December. After 10 months of political impasse, Spain is set to have a new government at the end of this week. The decision by the Socialist party (PSOE) to abstain in the second parliament investiture vote clears the way for a minority government to be formed under prime minister Mariano Rajoy and thus avoids the need for a third general...

Macroview The German 10-year Bund yield should rise only slightly from its current negative level. Peripheral bond spreads over Bunds should remain volatile. The financial markets’ reaction to the UK's Brexit referendum, together with the change in our economic scenarios as a result of UK voters’ decision to leave the European Union, are leading us to change our forecast for euro area bonds, particularly our forecasts for the German 10-year Bund and for yield spreads over Bunds for...