Tag Archives: MXN

Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.08% to 1.1702 CHF. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, November 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is narrowly mixed and is largely consolidating last week’s losses as the market waits for this week’s numerous events that may impact the investment climate. These include the likelihood of the US Senate vote on tax reform,...

Summary: Risk that NAFTA collapses weighs on CAD and MXN. Yen is slightly firmer despite US yields edging higher and weekend polls suggesting LDP could nearly secure a 2/3 majority of its own. The sterling is consolidating after sharp moves at the end of last week. (Greetings from San Francisco, where I will be speaking at a CFA seminar on currencies tomorrow. The rebuilding from destruction of the of...

Swiss Franc The euro is lower at 1.0854 (-0.06%). EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, June 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar is beginning what promises to be an important week on a steady to firmer note against most of the major currencies. It is a holiday in parts of Europe (e.g.,m Germany and Switzerland). Although excitement is not until Thursday’s ECB meeting, UK election, and...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 23(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar cannot get out of its own way, it seems. With a light economic schedule, there is little to offset the continued drumbeat of troubling political developments. The latest turn, as reported first in the Washington Post, that President Trump asked heads of intelligence groups to also publicly deny...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, May 18(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates Yesterday’s dramatic response to the political maelstrom in Washington is over.  The appointment of a special counsel to head up the FBI’s investigation into Russia’s attempt to influence the US election appears to have acted a circuit breaker of sorts.   It is not sufficient to boost confidence that the Trump...

Summary: US TWI has appreciated a little since the end of Q1. The euro and sterling’s strength are exceptions to the rule. The dollar has edged up against the currencies of the US top four trading partners here in Q2. In early Asia today, the euro reached its highest level against the dollar since the US election last November.  Sterling was near seven-month highs.  It is primarily because of the strength of...

Summary: The trade tensions between the US and Canada set the Canadian dollar to lows for the year. The dollar’s downside momentum against the Mexican peso has eased. The Canadian dollar looks attractive not against the US dollar but against the peso. The Trump Administration has switched gears.   During the campaign through the inauguration,  Trump picked on Mexico.  The rhetoric and threats drove the peso to...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, April 25(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF We have seen small gains made by the Euro against the Swiss Franc since the result of the first round of the Presidential elections in France, and indeed the Swiss Franc has generally weakened against most major currencies over the course of this week. The SNB (Swiss National Bank) have recently commented...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, March 31(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ) - Click to enlarge FX Rates The US dollar fell against all the major currencies in the first three months of 2017. The weakness initially seemed to be a correction to the rally, which began before the US election last year.  The dollar recovered in February, in anticipation of a hawkish Fed in March. The Fed did hike rates, but the...

For the last several weeks, we have been looking for the dollar correction that began around the Fed’s rate hike in the middle of December to be completed and for the uptrend to resume. The precise timing of the turn is difficult to get right, but our view is anchored by our macroeconomic assessment and is understanding of the key drivers. Our technical work suggests the dollar indeed has been carving out a bottom, and...