Tag Archives: Monthly Macro Monitor

Alhambra CEO discusses the most important economic reports from the past month. [embedded content] Related posts: Monthly Macro Chart Review – March Monthly Macro Monitor – February (VIDEO) Monthly Macro Monitor – October 2018 (VIDEO) Monthly Macro Monitor – December 2018 (VIDEO) Monthly Macro Monitor – September 2018 Monthly Macro Monitor – January 2019 Monthly Macro Monitor...

We’re changing the format on our Macro updates, breaking the report into two parts. This is part one, a review of the data released the previous month with charts to highlight the ones we deem important. We’ll post another one next week that will be more commentary and the market based indicators we use to monitor recession risk. We are still playing catch up on the economic data releases due to the government...

Alhambra Investments CEO Joe Calhoun discusses the latest information about markets, specific categories affecting the economy. [embedded content] Related posts: Monthly Macro Monitor – October 2018 (VIDEO) Monthly Macro Monitor – December 2018 (VIDEO) Monthly Macro Monitor – August Monthly Macro Monitor – September 2018 Monthly Macro Monitor –...

A Return To Normalcy In the first two years after a newly elected President takes office he enacts a major tax cut that primarily benefits the wealthy and significantly raises tariffs on imports. His foreign policy is erratic but generally pulls the country back from foreign commitments. He also works to reduce immigration and roll back regulations enacted by his predecessor. This President is widely rumored to have...

[embedded content] Economic thoughts and analysis from Alhambra Investments CEO Joe Calhoun. Related posts: Monthly Macro Monitor – October 2018 (VIDEO) Monthly Macro Monitor – September 2018 Monthly Macro Monitor – August Monthly Macro Monitor – November 2018 Monthly Macro Monitor – October 2018 Monthly Macro Monitor – August 2018 Monthly Macro...

Is the Fed’s monetary tightening about over? Maybe, maybe not but there does seem to be some disagreement between Jerome Powell and his Vice Chair, Richard Clarida. Powell said just a little over a month ago that the Fed Funds rate was still “a long way from neutral” and that the Fed may ultimately need to go past neutral. Clarida last week said the FF rate was close to neutral and that future hikes should be “data...

[embedded content] Economic thoughts and analysis from Alhambra Investments CEO Joe Calhoun. Related posts: Monthly Macro Monitor – October 2018 Special Edition: Markets Under Pressure (VIDEO) Monthly Macro Monitor – September 2018 Monthly Macro Monitor – September Monthly Macro Monitor – August Monthly Macro Monitor – August 2018 Global Asset...

Stocks have stumbled into October with the S&P 500 down about 6% as I write this. The source of equity investors’ angst is always hard to pinpoint and this is no exception but this correction doesn’t seem to be due to concerns about economic growth. At least not directly. The most common explanation for the pullback in stocks – 6% doesn’t even qualify as a correction – is rising interest rates but I think it is a...

Alhambra Investments CEO Joe Calhoun shares his opinions of the economy and market based on the most recent economic reports.  Related posts: Monetary Policy Assessment of 20 September 2018 Monthly Macro Monitor – September FX Daily, September 12: Dollar Chops in Narrow Ranges Global Asset Allocation Update – September 2018 Monthly Macro...

This has already been one of the longest economic expansions on record for the US and there is little in the data or markets to indicate that is about to come to an end. Current levels of the yield curve are comparable to late 2005 in the last cycle. It was almost two years later before we even had an inkling of a problem and even in the summer of 2008 – nearly three years later – there was still a robust debate about...