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Tag Archives: Fed rate rises

Fed rate hikes well into 2019 may be on the cards

Fed sticks to routine of one hike per quarter, with growing chance of extra rate increase next year.As widely expected, the Fed hiked rates another 25bps on 26 September, continuing its routine of raising rates by 25bps each quarter.The Fed displayed optimism about US growth prospects. Chairman Powell said that the US was in a bright spot that was expected to last. This optimistic tone was echoed by a rise in the Fed’s GDP growth forecasts, including for next year – even as higher trade...

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US improving, but constraints on Fed rate hikes

The domestic economy is picking up, but downbeat manufacturing and inflation data may still be factors in Fed policy decisions After a habitually disappointing first-quarter GDP figure of 0.5% (first estimate, to be revised on May 27), we expect a significant pick-up in US GDP to about 2.5% in the second quarter, not least because of strong consumer spending, which, according to our estimates, could grow by 3.0% in Q2 2016. Admittedly, consumer spending in the first quarter was...

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