Hints that Fed balance-sheet reduction could in question.Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made dovish remarks at a conference on Friday to the effect that the Fed would be ‘patient’ about further rate increases after having delivered four rate hikes in 2018.Crucially, Powell mentioned possible tweaks to the Fed’s preset plans for balance sheet shrinkage to calm financial markets concerns, after downplaying the balance sheet aspects at the December post-policy meeting press conference.This...
Read More »US economy: Too-loose financial conditions versus too-low inflation
In spite of dilemma, we still think the Fed will announce plans to shrink balance sheet in September and will hike rates again in December.Several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, and a few foreign central bankers, will meet for their traditional August gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on 24–26 August. Fed Chair Janet Yellen will give the opening speech on Friday (08:00 local time, 16:00 Geneva), but with neither a Q&A session, nor a scheduled media briefing. Unlike her predecessor,...
Read More »Fed on the road to normalisation, People’s Bank of China stands pat
The Fed is on track to hike rates once more in 2017, with balance-sheet reduction later this year set to tighten policy further. China’s PBoC is taking a relaxed view of the Fed’s policy changes.As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve decided at latest policy meeting on June 14 to raise the Fed funds rate target range by 25bp to 1.0%-1.25%. The Fed appeared relatively upbeat on the economy, downplayed the recent weakness in inflation numbers and left unchanged its median projections for...
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