Tag Archives: 1) SNB and CHF

The Swiss National Bank’s third interest rate cut did not push USD/CHF out of its month-long range between 0.84 and 0.8550, DBS’ FX analyst Philip Wee notes. SNB does not want EUR/CHF to find new lows “SNB lowered the policy rate by 25 bps to 1.00% and kept the door open for more easing in the coming quarters on its new forecast for inflation to decelerate to 0.6% in 2025 from 1.2% in 2024.” “In June, SNB projected a modest slowdown in...

USD/CHF is trading lower within a range formed since August.  It is in a sideways trend and a decisive breakout would be required to give directionality.  USD/CHF continues trading up and down within a range. It is probably in a sideways trend, which given the principle that “the trend is your friend” is likely to endure. USD/CHF 4-hour Chart    USD/CHF is currently moving down within the range and it will probably reach at least as far as...

Indian Rupee gathers strength in Wednesday’s early European session.  Improved risk appetite and a weakening USD support the INR.  Investors await the US August New Home Sales and Fed’s Kugler speech on Wednesday.  The Indian Rupee (INR) edges higher on Wednesday. Improved risk appetite following China’s stimulus measures and the softer US Dollar (USD) boost the local currency on the day. Nonetheless, rising crude oil prices, outflows related...

Pair bottomed at a low of 0.8375 and then recovered above 0.8400 but holds daily losses. US August NFPs came in lower than expected, following this weak labor market data trend. Investors might bet on a bigger cut in September from the Fed. On Friday, the USD/CHF fell to a daily low of 0.8375 and then recovered back above 0.8400. The upside, however, is limited as the US reported weak labor market figures. The US Dollar’s appeal diminished...

Inflation unter Kontrolle Seit Anfang Jahr schwankt die hiesige Inflation nun im Bereich von 1,0 bis 1,4 Prozent, davor war sie im August 2022 bis auf einen Höchstwert von 3,5 Prozent gestiegen. Im Vergleich zum Ausland steht die Schweiz weiterhin besser da, allerdings sind die Unterschiede zuletzt deutlich geringer geworden. In der Eurozone lag der letzte verfügbare Wert (August) noch bei 2,2 Prozent, in den USA (Juli) bei 2,9 Prozent. [embedded content]...

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan on Thursday acknowledged difficulties that the strong Swiss Franc is causing for Swiss industry, which is already dealing with weaker demand from other European countries, per Reuters.   Key quotes The mandate of the SNB is to maintain price stability—a crucial precondition for society and a good functioning economy. Price stability is a crucial precondition for prosperity.Germany and Europe...

Russia carried out several air attacks on Ukraine this week, costing Moscow an estimated £1.1 billion. Meanwhile, Ukraine has warned it is closely watching on its border with Belarus after a recent buildup of troops there, according to Sky News.  Last week, Kyiv's foreign ministry accused Minsk of concentrating a "significant number of personnel" in the Gomel area near Ukraine's northern border "under the guise of exercises."  Market reaction...

USD/CHF marches toward 0.8700 as safe-haven flows to the Swiss Franc have diminished. Investors divide over the size of Fed’s interest-rate cuts in September. Investors await the US PPI and CPI data for July, which will be published at 12:30 GMT and Wednesday, respectively. The USD/CHF pair gains to near 0.8675 in Tuesday’s European session. The Swiss Franc asset strengthens as the appeal of the Swiss Franc as a safe-haven asset diminishes due...

Gold price pulls back from the vicinity of the monthly peak retested earlier this Tuesday. Bulls opt to lighten their bets amid a positive risk tone and ahead of the US inflation data. Geopolitical risks and bets for a 50-bps rate cut by the Fed should help limit the downside. Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers following an Asian session uptick back closer to the monthly peak and erodes a part of the previous day's strong gains of more...

It looks like G10 policy rates (ex-Japan) are going lower, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note. EUR/CHF may struggle to stay above 0.95 “We are looking for at least another 125bp of ECB easing into next summer, if not 175bp. Switzerland is closer to the zero-bound constraint, however, and markets are reluctant to price the Swiss National Bank policy rate below 0.50% - just 75bp lower from current levels. Spread compression...