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SNB & CHF

FX Daily, March 21: Euro Recovery Continues, Posts New Six Week High Other Currencies Mixed

Swiss Franc Switzerland Trade Balance, February 2017(see more posts on Switzerland Trade Balance, ) Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF The Swiss Franc continues to remain incredibly strong as it maintains its status as a safe haven currency in these uncertain economic times globally. The Swiss National Bank quarterly bulletin is released tomorrow afternoon at 14pm which is produced by the...

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“People Need to Understand that their Biggest Asset is Individual Liberty” – an Interview with Claudio Grass

  In his latest interview for the X22 Report, Claudio Grass shares his views on the future of the Euro, the Trump Presidency, the monetary system and the advantage of of owning gold in these times of global uncertainty. Preserving Liberty in a Difficult Time Claudio Grass, managing director at Global Gold As election season is upon us in Europe and political and economic tensions are heating up, Claudio Grass notes...

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Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis – Precious Metals Supply and Demand

See the introduction and the video for the terms gold basis, co-basis, backwardation and contango. Probabilistic Technical Analysis vs. the Mechanics of Arbitrage We talk about the supply and demand fundamentals every week. We were surprised to see an article about us this week. The writer thought that our technical analysis cannot see what is going on in the market. We don’t want to fight with people, we prefer to...

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Swiss Trade Balance February 2017: imports “outperform” exports

We do not like Purchasing Power or Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) as measurement for currencies. For us, the trade balance decides if a currency is overvalued. Only the trade balance can express productivity increases, while REER assumes constant productivity in comparison to trade partners. On the other side, a rising trade surplus may also be caused by a higher savings rate while the trade partners decided to...

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The Best Ways to Invest in Gold Today

The Best Ways to Invest in Gold Today – The cost of buying and selling gold – How to buy gold on the cheap – How to avoid paying capital gains tax (CGT) on your gold – Open an account with one of the online bullion dealers – the likes of GoldMoney, GoldCore or Bullion Vault –  Gold Sovereigns and Gold Britannias make for a considerable saving on cost because of the CGT exemption Gold Britannias and Sovereigns are free...

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Digital Gold – For Now Caveat Emptor

Digital Gold On The Blockchain – For Now Caveat Emptor – Bitcoin surpasses gold price – a psychological and arbitrary headline  – Royal Mint blockchain gold asks you to trust in the UK government – Royal Canadian Mint and GoldMoney blockchain product asks you to trust in government and the technology, servers, websites etc of the providers – Invest in a gold mine using cryptocurrency – but wait until 2022 for your gold...

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Was There Ever A ‘Skills Mismatch’? Notable Differences In Job Openings Suggest No

Perhaps the most encouraging data produced by the BLS has been within its JOLTS figures, those of Job Openings. It is one data series that policymakers watch closely and one which they purportedly value more than most. While the unemployment and participation rates can be caught up in structural labor issues (heroin and retirees), Job Openings are related to the demand for labor rather than the complications on the...

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Solutions Abound–on the Local Level

Rather than bemoan the inevitable failure of centralized “fixes,” let’s turn our attention and efforts to the real solutions: decentralized, networked, localized. Those looking for centralized solutions to healthcare, jobs and other “macro-problems” will suffer inevitable disappointment. The era in which further centralization provided the “solution” has passed: additional centralization (Medicare for All, No Child Left...

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Weekly Sight Deposits and Speculative Positions: EUR/CHF suddenly higher after ECB

Headlines Week March 20, 2017 We were arguing in the last weeks, that the EUR/CHF is trending towards parity. There are three reasons: Continuing SNB interventions Strengthening Swiss local demand, as also visible in the GDP release. Speculators increase their dollar shorts against Euro and reduce them against CHF. Point 3 was not fulfilled last week. FX Last week: The EUR/CHF suddenly appreciated with the ECB meeting,...

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Weekly Speculative Position: After ECB, Reduction of Euro Shorts

Swiss Franc Speculators were net short CHF in January 2015, shortly before the end of the peg, with 26.4K contracts. Then again in December 2015, when they expected a Fed rate hike, with 25.5K contracts. The biggest short CHF, however, happened in June 2007, when speculators were net short 80K contracts. Shortly after, the U.S. subprime crisis started. The carry trade against CHF collapsed. The...

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