Tag Archives: US inflation expectations

The inflation rate remains tepid, but we still think there is a greater probability that the Fed hikes rates in December than the market is currently pricing.CPI inflation was 0.4% m-o-m, boosted by gasoline prices, pushing the y-o-y print to a still-tepid 1.9%. Core CPI inflation was up 0.25% m-o-m; the y-o-y reading was stable at 1.7%.While improving from recent lows, there is no sign of a ‘regime shift’ in US inflation, despite the tight labour market. Globalisation and technology...

The statement at the end of the Fed’s latest policy meeting did hint at increasing inflation and seemed to prepare the ground for a December rate hike.As widely expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) remained on hold at its policy meeting on November 2 meeting and there were only slight modifications in the FOMC statement.The Fed modestly upgraded its assessment of inflation and provided further hints of a December rate rise, saying that the case for a hike “has continued to...