Swiss Franc Speculators were net short CHF in January 2015, shortly before the end of the peg, with 26.4K contracts. Then again in December 2015, when they expected a Fed rate hike, with 25.5K contracts. The biggest short CHF, however, happened in June 2007, when speculators were net short 80K contracts. Shortly after, the U.S. subprime crisis started. The carry trade against CHF collapsed. The...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: Speculators go short CHF again after a brief period of Long CHF
Swiss Franc Speculators were net short CHF in January 2015, shortly before the end of the peg, with 26.4K contracts. Then again in December 2015, when they expected a Fed rate hike, with 25.5K contracts. The biggest short CHF, however, happened in June 2007, when speculators were net short 80K contracts. Shortly after, the U.S. subprime crisis started. The carry trade against CHF collapsed. The...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: After Fed Rate Hike, Speculators Close their Short CHF and Open Long CHF
Swiss Franc Speculators were net short CHF in January 2015, shortly before the end of the peg, with 26.4K contracts. Then again in December 2015, when they expected a Fed rate hike, with 25.5K contracts. The biggest short CHF, however, happened in June 2007, when speculators were net short 80K contracts. Shortly after, the U.S. subprime crisis started. The carry trade against CHF collapsed. The...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: Short CHF Close to Records of 2015
Speculators appeared mostly interested in reducing exposure in the run-up to the US jobs data and the Italian referendum. They liquidated gross longs in the currency futures market and covered shorts. Of the eight currencies we track there were two exceptions, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. Swiss Franc Speculators were net short CHF in January 2015, shortly before the end of the peg, with 26.4K...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: Short CHF Close to Records of 2015
Speculators appeared mostly interested in reducing exposure in the run-up to the US jobs data and the Italian referendum. They liquidated gross longs in the currency futures market and covered shorts. Of the eight currencies we track there were two exceptions, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. Swiss Franc Speculators were net short CHF in January 2015, shortly before the end of the peg, with 26.4K...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: Short CHF Close to Records of 2015
Speculators appeared mostly interested in reducing exposure in the run-up to the US jobs data and the Italian referendum. They liquidated gross longs in the currency futures market and covered shorts. Of the eight currencies we track there were two exceptions, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. Swiss Franc Speculators were net short CHF in January 2015, shortly before the end of the peg, with 26.4K...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: Short CHF Are Increasing
In the CFTC reporting week ending November 28, speculators added 12.1k contracts to their gross short position, lifting it to 72.4k contracts. Speculators added a little less than one thousand contracts to the gross longs, which then stood at 72.1k contracts. Since peaking in early October near 102k contracts, 30k gross long contracts have been liquidated. Over the same period, almost 40k contracts have been added...
Read More »THIS Time A Swiss Franc Hedge Makes More Sense
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Money markets and the Swiss franc have diverged despite a presumed increase in event risk from the U.S. Presidential election. Moreover, shorts against the Swiss franc have risen. This surprising divergence opens up a presumed opportunity use the franc as...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: Bottom-Picking Sterling, Swiss Franc Even More Net Short
Comment on Swiss Franc by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Swiss Franc and Euro In both euro and Swiss Franc, the net short position expanded. Speculators are now net short the euro with 124K contracts and net short Swiss Franc by 18.7K contracts against the US Dollar. Register for an OANDA forex trading...
Read More »Weekly Speculative Positions: Net Short CHF Position is Increasing
The net short Swiss Franc position against the dollar has risen to levels seen before the breakdown of the EUR/CHF floor. Short CHF has increased from short 9.4 K contracts to 16.4 K contracts. Before the end of the peg, in December 2014, speculators were short CHF by 20-25 K contracts. This big short position got repeated only once at the end of 2015, when the Fed was supposed to hike rates, but finally did not....
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