Tag Archives: Spanish growth forecast

While markets have remained stoic about evolving political situation in the region, prolonged uncertainty could have an impact.The response given by the Catalan President Carles Puigdemont to the Spanish government’s ultimatum last week did not provide the clarity the central government was seeking on whether or not the Catalan parliament would formally declare independence.As a result, the central government therefore has decided to invoke Article 155 of the Spanish constitution, for the...

There are increasing chances that Madrid will impose direct rule on Catalonia. A prolonged stand-off could end up depressing activity, but for now we are not revising our growth outlook for Spain.This morning, the Catalan president failed to answer clearly whether Catalonia had declared independence or not. He reiterated that he had placed last week’s unilateral declaration of independence on hold in order to open up a “two-month process” to try to reach a deal with the central...