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Tag Archives: retail inventories

Trying To Project The Goods Trade Cycle

One quick note on yesterday’s retail sales estimates in the US for the month of November 2021. The increase for them was less than had been expected, but these were hardly awful by any rational measure. Instead, they seemed to further indicate only what we had proposed upon release of the October estimates: Christmas shopping came a bit early for more shoppers than otherwise. Not terribly dramatic by any means, yet noticeable. Even the “real” series adjusted for,...

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