The PCE Deflator for January 2017 rose just 1.89% year-over-year. It was the 57th consecutive month less than the 2% mandate (given by the Fed itself when in early 2012 it made the 2% target for this metric its official definition of price stability). Though there is a chance that the streak will end with the update for February, it should not go unnoticed how weak that number is given that oil prices in January were...
Read More »[unable to retrieve full-text content]“Markets make opinions,” says the old Wall Street adage. Perhaps what this means is that when stocks are going up, many consider the economy to be going great. Conversely, when stocks tank it must be because the economic sky is falling.
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Summary: Service prices are rising, while goods prices have steadily fallen. Non-durable goods prices are stabilizing, while durable goods prices are still falling. The decline in durable goods prices is an important economic development. The rust line is service prices. They are steadily increasing. No deflation or disinflation here. Think about rent, medical services, education, and entertainment. The three...
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