Tag Archives: newslettersent

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates After softening ahead of the weekend, the US dollar has begun the new week on a firm note.  It is gaining against most major and emerging market currencies.  Outside of what appears to be a staged call between US President Elect Trump and the Taiwanese President, the developments in Europe grabbed the...

In the summer months, the Swiss hotels registered more guests from Switzerland. from the United States and from Europe. But there was a sharp decline of guest from Asia. 100’000 more overnight stays from Switzerland could not recover the decrease of 200’000. One important reason for decline is the weakening Chinese currency, that reduced their purchasing power, in dollar but also in CHF. CNY is Weakening and...

Stock Markets EM remains a mixed bag. Despite the negative connotations of a rising US rate environment, EM gathered an element of stability last week as the dollar consolidated its recent gains. Rising commodity prices are also helping EM at the margin, with RUB and COP amongst the best last week on higher oil and CLP on higher copper.  The tone for markets this week will likely be set by political developments in...

Swiss Franc Currency Index The Swiss Franc index continued around its 4% loss since the U.S. elections, while the US Dollar index had a 4% increase. Trade-weighted index Swiss Franc, December 02(see more posts on Swiss Franc Index, ). Swiss Franc Currency Index (3 years) The Swiss Franc index is the trade-weighted currency performance (see the currency basket) On a three years interval, the Swiss...

For us the Net National Savings Rate is the best alternative indicator to GDP growth. The Net National Savings Rate (NNSR) is rather positively correlated with the change in wealth, with the establishment of future productive capacity, the price of government bonds and currency valuations. The relationship of GDP growth to those four criteria, however, is often a negative correlation. We critized GDP growth that has...

In the CFTC reporting week ending November 28, speculators added 12.1k contracts to their gross short position, lifting it to 72.4k contracts. Speculators added a little less than one thousand contracts to the gross longs, which then stood at 72.1k contracts. Since peaking in early October near 102k contracts, 30k gross long contracts have been liquidated.  Over the same period, almost 40k contracts have been added...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Sterling has made steady gains against the CHF over the past month, in line with improvements made against other major currencies. The Pound has benefited from a strong run of economic data and more positive market sentiment. Whilst the UK economy remains fragile in the eyes of investors, there is no doubt...

Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, December 01(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge Sterling has made steady gains against the CHF over the past month, in line with improvements made against other major currencies. The Pound has benefited from a strong run of economic data and more positive market sentiment. Whilst the UK economy remains fragile in the eyes of investors, there is no doubt...

Perhaps the masses have (finally!) reached the point where the pain of maintaining the status quo now exceeds that of breaking it. A remarkably diverse array of “explanations” of Donald Trump’s presidential election victory have been aired, representing both the conventional political spectrum and well beyond. Let’s start with the conventional mainstream media “explanations”: #1: Trump was elected by intolerant...

Summary: UK could pay for single market access. UK’s position still seems fluid. The Supreme Court will hear the government’s appeal next week. Sterling has been lifted to its best since October 6 on the back of comments by UK’s Brexit Minister Davis.  In answer to questions in Parliament, Davis acknowledged that access to the EU single market might be secured by the UK paying for it. He talked about making a...