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Tag Archives: Japan Q4 GDP

Japan: Q4 GDP disappoints

Japanese economy expands below expectations, while external uncertainties weigh on outlook.Japanese GDP rebounded by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q4 (1.4% annualised) after contracting by 0.7% q-o-q in Q3 (-2.6% annualised) due to a series of natural disasters over the summer. In year-over-year (y-o-y) terms, output remained virtually unchanged.Domestic demand was the main driving force for the rebound in Q4, while external demand continued to be a drag.A fairly strong domestic capex...

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Japanese growth momentum moderates

After GDP growth of 1.7% in 2017, we expect the Japanese economy to continue its cyclical recovery in 2018 but momentum is slowing.The second preliminary GDP reading showed that Japanese GDP rose 0.4% over the previous quarter (1.6% annualised) in real terms and 2.0% year-over-year (y-o-y). This latest data release points to Japanese GDP growth of 1.7% in full-year 2017, slightly below our forecast of 1.8%. This still marks the highest annual growth rate for Japan since 2013, and extends the...

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