Tag Archives: Japan GDP forecast

The revised figures mean a slight rise in our 2018 growth forecast. However, external uncertainties remain.The second estimate of the Japanese Q2 GDP coming in at 3.0% quarter-over-quarter annualised in Q2, a significant upward revision from the first estimate of 1.9%. This is Japan’s highest growth rate in nine quarters.The biggest revision was in corporate capital expenditure, which rose by 12.8% year over year (y-o-y) in Q2, according to the latest estimate. It contributed 1.7 percentage...

After GDP growth of 1.7% in 2017, we expect the Japanese economy to continue its cyclical recovery in 2018 but momentum is slowing.The second preliminary GDP reading showed that Japanese GDP rose 0.4% over the previous quarter (1.6% annualised) in real terms and 2.0% year-over-year (y-o-y). This latest data release points to Japanese GDP growth of 1.7% in full-year 2017, slightly below our forecast of 1.8%. This still marks the highest annual growth rate for Japan since 2013, and extends the...