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Tag Archives: Featured

Ueda Lifts Yen, Leaving Euro and Sterling Pinned Near Lows

Overview:  Escalating tensions in Europe and comments from Bank of Japan Ueda that spurred speculation of a December hike are the main drivers of the foreign exchange market today. The yen is the strongest of the G10 currencies, up about 0.65%, while the euro is the weakest, off a little more than 0.25%, and sterling is down almost as much. Most of the other G10 currencies are little changed. Led by central European currencies, most emerging market currencies are...

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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Trades sideways below 0.8850

USD/CHF trades in a tight range below 0.8850 as investors seek fresh Fed interest rate cues. Donald Trump’s economic agenda will be inflationary for the US economy. Investors await flash US S&P Global PMI for November and SNB Schlegel’s speech, which are scheduled for Friday. The USD/CHF pair consolidates in a tight range below 0.8850 in European trading hours on Thursday. The Swiss Franc pair trades sideways as investors look for fresh...

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EUR/CHF: SNB policy rate can go negative again – ING

EUR/CHF remains on the low near 0.93, ING’s Chris Turner notes.   EUR/CHF to grind towards 0.92 “In August we had felt that EUR/CHF would stay offered for the rest of the year and recent events only add to that conviction.” “What interests us is whether the Swiss National Bank will take rates below 0.50% in this easing cycle (we think not). And spread compression should weigh on EUR/CHF as the ECB cuts rates 150bp into next summer.” “Expect...

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Gold price weekly uptrend remains uninterrupted despite positive risk tone

Gold price attracts buyers for the fourth consecutive day and climbs to over a one-week high. Geopolitical risks stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict benefit the safe-haven XAU/USD. Elevated US bond yields could underpin the US Dollar and cap the non-yielding yellow metal. Gold price (XAU/USD) adds to its intraday gains and climbs to a fresh one-and-half-week high, around the $2,664-2,665 area during the first half of the European session...

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A Critique of Black Box Economics

A central debate in the philosophy of science concerns the purpose of scientific theories: should they aim to represent the world as accurately as possible or is it sufficient for them to produce useful predictions? Milton Friedman’s influential essay The Methodology of Positive Economics argues for the latter, suggesting that the primary goal of a theory is to generate accurate predictions, regardless of whether its assumptions reflect reality. This...

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Will Foreign Policy Really Be Different Under Trump?

What is the Mises Institute? The Mises Institute is a non-profit organization that exists to promote teaching and research in the Austrian School of economics, individual freedom, honest history, and international peace, in the tradition of Ludwig von Mises and Murray N. Rothbard. Non-political, non-partisan, and non-PC, we advocate a radical shift in the intellectual climate, away from statism and toward a private property order....

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The Myth of the “Aguinaldo”

In Costa Rica, and in most Latin American countries (Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, Colombia, etc.) the aguinaldo—a legally-mandated Christmas bonus—is an acquired labor right and is meant to provide workers with additional financial security. Unlike discretionary year-end bonuses in the United States, this one is an obligatory payment enforced by Costa Rican labor law.Employers are required to pay an amount equivalent to one month’s salary at the end of each year,...

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