The focus in Europe has been Catalonia’s push for independence and the attempt by Madrid to prevent it. Tomorrow’s ECB meeting, where more details about next year’s asset purchases, is also awaited. There are three developments that we suspect have been overshadowed but are still instructive. First, the ECB reported that its balance sheet shrank last week. With the ECB set to take another baby step toward the exit, many...
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USD/CHF EUR/CHF EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 24(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: Investing.com - Click to enlarge USD/JPY [embedded content] USD/JPY with Technical Indicators, October 23(see more posts on USD/JPY, ) - Click to enlarge EUR/USD [embedded content] EUR/USD with Technical Indicators, October 23(see more posts on EUR/USD, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/USD [embedded content] GBP/USD...
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USD/CHF EUR/CHF EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 16(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge USD/JPY [embedded content] USD/JPY with Technical Indicators, October 16(see more posts on USD/JPY, ) - Click to enlarge EUR/USD [embedded content] EUR/USD with Technical Indicators, October 16(see more posts on EUR/USD, ) - Click to enlarge GBP/USD [embedded content]...
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There was a huge sigh of relief among investors when it became clear that the populist-nationalist wave that ostensibly led to Brexit and Trump’s election was not going to sweep through Europe. The euro gapped higher on April 24, and it has not looked back. We have suggested that with the outcome of the German election, European politics shift from tailwind to headwind. Spain’s most serious constitutional crisis in 40...
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Summary: Euro peaked a month ago. The reversal before the weekend marks the end of the leg lower. ECB meeting is next big focus. ECB may focus on gross rather than net purchases. The euro peaked a month ago near $1.2090. It recorded a low near $1.1670 after the weather-skewed US jobs data seen at the end of last week. The euro recovered from the weekend and set new session highs late US dealings. That...
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USD/CHF EUR/CHF EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, October 05(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge USD/JPY [embedded content] USD/JPY with Technical Indicators, October 2 - Click to enlarge EUR/USD [embedded content] EUR/USD with Technical Indicators, October 2 - Click to enlarge GBP/USD [embedded content] GBP/USD with Technical Indicators, October 2 - Click to...
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USD/CHF EUR/CHF EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, September 23(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge EUR/USD [embedded content] USD/JPY [embedded content] GBP/USD [embedded content] NZD/USD [embedded content] Related posts: FX Weekly Review, August 28 – September 02: The end of big euro rise? FX Weekly Review, June 26 – July 01:...
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EUR/CHF The euro rose close to CHF 1.15 with the ECB meeting this week. Finally traders realized that the ECB committed not to hike rates for a very long time. The ECB will review and take a first decision on the bond purchasing program this autumn. However, this program will come to an end only when the inflation target of 2% becomes in reach. Strangely the EUR/CHF reacted with losses only on Friday. Where will Euro...
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EUR/CHF Let us remember why the euro has risen from 1.08 to 1.14 between June and August: Hopes that the French president Macron will help the French economy, similarly to the Trump reflation trade. Hopes that the ECB will finish their bond buying program earlier combined with quite good economic data. We are of the opinion that both points may be illusionary. The euro should not rise further. Politicians cannot...
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USD/CHF The dollar had some gains versus the franc during the last month, but it lost all during the last days. EUR/CHF The euro is still around 1.14, this is up 2.5% against one month ago. The rising momentum for EUR/CHF, however, seems to be fading. EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, August 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge Swiss Franc Currency Index (3...
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