Next week, we expect the ECB to highlight that downside risks to the euro area outlook have diminished further, warranting upward revisions to staff forecasts and a more neutral monetary stance.The latest economic developments are consistent with the ECB turning somewhat more hawkish – or, more accurately, less dovish. Business surveys have improved, pointing to annualised GDP growth of around 2% in Q1. Headline inflation returned to the ECB’s 2% target in February, for the first time in...
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