The US dollar traded heavily most of last week but rebounded ahead of the weekend, with some month-end flows impacting. The Japanese yen was a notable exception. The rise in US yields helped lift the greenback nearly a percent against the yen. The Fed's standpat stance in light of the surging economy and signals the Norwegian central bank and the Bank of Canada seemed dovish. The contrast carried the Norwegian krone and Canadian dollar to new three-year highs...
Read More »FX Daily, April 29: US GDP: The V
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.1031 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 29 Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: The market’s initial reaction to the Federal Reserve statement and the press conference was that it was dovish: the 10-year yield slipped, and the dollar was sold to new lows. In fact, the two countries that appear to be ahead of the curve among high-income countries, Canada and Norway, saw their currencies rally to new...
Read More »FX Daily, April 28: Biden and Powell are Center Stage
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.02% to 1.104 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 28(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: It appears that the backing up of US yields is giving the dollar a better tone and challenging the Eurosystem, which has stepped up its bond purchases. The US 10-year yield is around 1.65%, roughly a two-week high and back above the 20-day moving average. European yields are mostly 2-4...
Read More »FX Daily, April 27: Markets Mark Time Ahead of Fed
Swiss Franc The Euro is stable at 0.00% to 1.1041 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 27(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Short-covering ahead of the FOMC’s outcome tomorrow appears to be lending the US dollar support today. It has extended yesterday’s gains against the euro, sterling, and yen. Among emerging market currencies, the Turkish lira, along with the South Korean won and Taiwanese dollar, lead...
Read More »FX Daily, April 26: Big Week Begins Quietly, with the Greenback Still Under Pressure
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.03% to 1.1048 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 26(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: What promises to be a notable week has begun off quietly: the US, EMU, and South Korea report Q1 GDP. The eurozone also provides its first estimate of April inflation. Corporate earnings feature tech and financial firms. Equities are mostly firmer in the Asia Pacific region and...
Read More »FX Daily, April 23: Greenback Slips into the Weekend
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.28% to 1.1044 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 23(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Many narratives link the prospect of higher capital gains tax on about a third of 1% of Americans as the catalyst for losses in US equities yesterday (and Bitcoin) and weakness in some global shares today. Of the large markets in the Asia Pacific region, only Japan, which is reimposing...
Read More »FX Daily, April 20: Market has Second Thoughts about Timing of First Fed Hike
Swiss Franc The Euro has risen by 0.05% to 1.1015 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 20(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Even as US yields edge higher, the dollar struggles. With the 10-year Treasury yields now at 1.62%, nine basis points above last week’s lows, the greenback has turned mixed against the major currencies. After briefly slipping below JPY108, the dollar has recovered to around JPY108.55....
Read More »FX Daily, April 12: Capital Markets Look for Direction
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.07% to 1.0997 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 12(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Risk appetites have not returned from the weekend. Equities are heavy, and bond yields softer. The dollar is drifting lower in Europe. China’s unusually candid admission of the shortcomings of its vaccine and record new cases in India saw all the equity markets in the region fall. Only...
Read More »FX Daily, April 8: Calm Capital Markets See the Dollar Drift
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.26% to 1.1003 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 8 (see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Global stocks are moving higher today. Fears of a new lockdown in Tokyo amid rising covid cases weighed on Japanese stocks, a notable exception as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose for its fifth session of the past six. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is edging to new record highs today...
Read More »FX Daily, April 5: Market Pushes First Rate Hike into 2022
Swiss Franc The Euro has fallen by 0.25% to 1.1053 EUR/CHF and USD/CHF, April 5(see more posts on EUR/CHF, USD/CHF, ) Source: markets.ft.com - Click to enlarge FX Rates Overview: Many financial centers in Asia and Europe remain closed for the extended holiday. Although several markets that were open were higher in the Asia Pacific region, India was an exception as a record contagion sent stocks down the most in five weeks. US futures are pointing higher, led by...
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