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SNB & CHF

Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins

Since the end of the “Yen Carry Trade” correction in August, bullish positioning has returned with a vengeance, yet two key risks face investors as September begins. While bullish positioning and optimism are ingredients for a rising market, there is more to this story. It is true that “a rising tide lifts all boats,” meaning that as the market rises, investors begin to chase higher stock prices, leading to a virtual buying spiral. Such leads to an improvement in...

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Abgedroschen: “Stärkung der Verteidigungsfähigkeit”

Viele Medienmitteilungen des VBS enden mit dem Versprechen, dass die rapportierte Aktion der “Stärkung der Verteidigungsfähigkeit” dient (Beispiele unten) – als ob man es extra erwähnen müsste. Oder ist dies nicht ein permanenter Auftrag an die Armee? Im VBS wird unterdessen so viel für die Stärkung der Verteidigungsfähigkeit getan, dass einem schwindlig wird. Unterdessen wird fast jede erfolgreich abgeschlossene Tätigkeit, jeder Kontakt mit Externen, jede...

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Inflation im August sinkt stärker als erwartet – Ökonomen sehen Nationalbank gefordert

Inflation unter Kontrolle Seit Anfang Jahr schwankt die hiesige Inflation nun im Bereich von 1,0 bis 1,4 Prozent, davor war sie im August 2022 bis auf einen Höchstwert von 3,5 Prozent gestiegen. Im Vergleich zum Ausland steht die Schweiz weiterhin besser da, allerdings sind die Unterschiede zuletzt deutlich geringer geworden. In der Eurozone lag der letzte verfügbare Wert (August) noch bei 2,2 Prozent, in den USA (Juli) bei 2,9 Prozent. [embedded content]...

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Consumer prices remained stable in August

03.09.2024 - The consumer price index (CPI) remained unchanged in August 2024 compared with the previous month at 107.5 points (December 2020 = 100). Inflation was +1.1% compared with the same month of the previous year. These are the results of the Federal Statistical Office (FSO).The stability of the index compared with the previous month was the result of...

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Free Speech and Legislative Bans on DEI

In March 2024 Alabama enacted a law “to prohibit certain public entities from maintaining diversity, equity, and inclusion offices and from sponsoring diversity, equity, and inclusion programs.” The law will come into force in October 2024. Similarly, anti-woke law in Florida provides that “subjecting individuals to specified concepts under certain circumstances constitutes discrimination based on race, color, sex, or national origin.”Many libertarians are ambivalent...

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Weekly Market Pulse: It’s An Uncertain World

You’re going to hear a lot of talk about the yield curve soon and what it means for “the” yield curve to uninvert (which isn’t a real word but will get used a lot). The difference between the 10-year Treasury note yield and the 2-year Treasury note yield is about to turn positive, the 2-year note yield recently falling a bit more rapidly than the 10-year. You’ll see a lot of pundits say with great confidence that this means we are on the verge of recession. Which may...

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What If All the Conventional Models Fail to Predict What Happens Next?

The 'novel, apocalyptic situation which has now arisen' goes largely unrecognized. A truly staggering quantity of content is aimed at predicting what happens next, a.k.a. the future, and justifies their prediction by referencing models that are presented as rock-solid predictive tools. The majority of these models are based on historical examples that have been distilled into models of "how the world works," i.e. claims that these were not one-offs or outliers...

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TSA Tyranny Goes Cutesy

In the glorious age of the Kamala Ascendency, the TSA is no longer restraining its contempt for American travelers. After squeezing millions of butts and boobs and never catching a terrorist, TSA decided to have fun by taunting its victims. After a traveler asked online, “Why does TSA need social media anyways?” TSA’s Instagram account taunted: “Idk Kyle, why do your friends keep bringing stuff they shouldn’t in their carry-on?” Almost 40,000 people liked that post...

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