SNB & CHF

When bubbles pop, it’s natural selection at its most unforgiving: “adapt or die,” and those who ignore or discount consequential asymmetries will have a very difficult time navigating the triage. After years of relative stability, it seems asymmetries, distortions and denial are playing out in unexpectedly destabilizing ways. These complex and often opaque dynamics are interacting with each other and reinforcing each other in difficult to predict ways. No wonder...

Markets - basically all of them - have been coiled up like a spring as one piece after another had already been clicked into place, just waiting for the last one to confirm the turnaround. The US CPI had been stubbornly holding out against the overwhelming (recession) tide. Until now. With pivot in sight, what does that actually mean? Stocks trade one thing, curves something else entirely. Eurodollar University's Weekly Recap, featuring Steve Van Metre Twitter:...

The role of energy supply is crucial for economic growth in Switzerland according to KOF director Jan-Egbert Sturm. Keystone / Arno Balzarini Economic researcher Jan-Egbert Sturm expects the Swiss economy to stagnate in the next few months. The director of the Swiss Economic Institute (KOF) at Federal Institute ETH Zurich, said Switzerland had been been quite resilient in the current economic environment. “Resilience is based on stable political institutions, a...

Even before the softer-than-expected US inflation, we had been suggesting the dollar was in the process of carving out a significant high. Our strongest conviction was that sterling bottomed in late September at a record low near $1.0350. Our conviction had also been growing that the greenback has topped against the Canadian dollar, a little shy of our CAD1.40 target. Short-term trend followers and momentum traders have to adjust positions, and long-term structural...

Sign up for our free weekly newsletter at https://www.JayMartin.club Jeff Snider from Eurodollar University gives his forecast for the global economy and makes a bold prediction about the next world reserve currency. Jeff stresses that a shift will occur but the corrupt banksters who run the economy won't give up their vast power and wealth without a fight. Be part of our online investment community: https://cambridgehouse.com https://twitter.com/JayMartinBC...

Policymakers have often said that exchange rates should reflect fundamentals. What does that really mean? Can they do anything but that? It begs the question of which fundamental factors they should reflect. Therein lies the rub. We are still struck by the latest Bank for International Settlements figures. Their survey found that the average daily turnover in the foreign exchange market was $7.5 trillion a day. World trade last year was about $22.5 trillion. The...

On July 8 this year, UK prime minister Boris Johnson resigned as Conservative Party leader after a Cabinet revolt over a series of ethics scandals had made his position untenable. A leadership election was then set in motion to allow party members to elect the next party leader who would succeed Johnson as PM. The result was announced on September 5: the winner was would-be Margaret Thatcher, Liz Truss. The queen invited Truss to become PM on September 6. Truss...

A great benefit of the internet age is the capacity to accumulate, accelerate, and intensify connections between entrepreneurs, knowledge sources, investors, mentors, collaborators, and service providers. Businesses with a valid value proposition who are in the launch and early expansion phases can interconnect a network of powerful and qualified resources to support their growth. A good way to do so is to utilize a platform (another product of the internet age)...

Now here’s the headline! Swiss National Bank loses nearly $143 billion in first nine months Reuters reported the Q3 result last week, in which Switzerland’s publicly traded central bank (SNB) suffered its largest loss in its 115-year history. The news release reads beyond belief, not because of the unprecedented amount of value that was lost, but just how nonchalantly this legal counterfeiting ring is being downplayed. The loss … was slightly more than the annual...

When the FOMC gathered at the end of October 2007, their summation of the situation and what they perceived as risks to it sound like it was written today about today - or last month, October 2022. The Fed was about to commit a crucial series of errors, something one of its members warned against. Heed this guy's warning because no one back then did; including the guy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP...