Mark Chandler - Click to enlarge Even before the my polling station opened today, I had the privilege of being on Bloomberg Surveillance today with Gina Cervetti and Tom Keene. We talk about a wide range of issues directly and tangentially related to the US election. We discuss the outcome the market appears to be discounting. We talk about peso’s strength, which began in the second half of last week, before the FBI...
Read More »FX Daily, November 08: Consolidation Featured as Market Catches and Holds Breath
Comment on Swiss Franc by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Swiss Franc The EUR/CHF remains under the 1.08, the former line in sand for the SNB. CHF is a hedge against an unexpected outcome of the election. EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 08(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The...
Read More »FX Daily, November 07: Dollar Stabilizing After Bounce
Comment on Swiss Franc by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 07 (see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge FX Rates The DAX also gapped lower before the weekend and gapped higher today. It is stalling just ahead of the earlier gap from last week...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: The US Election is The Driver in the Week Ahead
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Neither the Mexican peso’s performance nor the fed funds futures seem to show that investors think the election is very close. Not all poll analysis showed what the Financial Times called “knife-edge”. None of the poll analysis showed Trump winning, and...
Read More »FOMC Says Little New, December Hike Remains Likely Scenario
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: Fed does not expand much on Sept. statement. Bar to December hike seems low. There were two rather than three dissents. FOMC - Click to enlarge The FOMC did not break new ground and the statement was as widely expected. It indicated that the case for...
Read More »FX Daily, November 04: US Jobs Figures: Another Time the Swiss Franc Strengthens
Comment on Swiss Franc by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Swiss Franc With the not convincing U.S. jobs number, both the EUR and, in particular, the Swiss Franc could improve. With continuing political uncertainty in the U.S., more speculators closed their short CHF positions. Moreover, I expect significant...
Read More »US Jobs Data Maintains Fed Hike Expectations
Introduction by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs Summary: US jobs data was largely in line or better than expected. The stronger earnings growth may be more important than the headline. Canada’s data was mostly disappointing. The US October jobs report as a whole was in line with expectations, and suggests a...
Read More »FX Daily, November 03: Political Angst Drives Markets
Comment on GBP and CHF by Matt Vassallo My articles About meMy booksFollow on: Swiss Franc EUR/CHF - Euro Swiss Franc, November 03(see more posts on EUR/CHF, ). - Click to enlarge GBP/CHF rates are trading below 1.20 on the exchange, providing those clients holding CHF with some of the best rates they’ve seen in the past six years. The Pounds woes have been well documented but with a key day of economic...
Read More »FX Daily, November 02: Standpat FOMC Trumped by US Political Jitters
Comment on GBP and CHF by Jonathan Watson My articles My siteAbout meMy booksFollow on:TwitterLinkedIN Swiss Franc The Swiss Franc is a safe haven currency and benefits in time of uncertainty. With Donald Trump now looking much more likely to win the Election the Swissie has found favour. If you are buying the Franc with sterling in the future the combination of global uncertainty and a weak pound looks set...
Read More »FX Daily, November 01: Dollar and Yen Slip in Quiet even if Eventful Turnover
Comment on Swiss Franc by George Dorgan My articles About meMy booksFollow on:TwitterFacebookGoogle +YoutubeSeeking AlphaCFA SocietyLinkedINEconomicBlogs EUR/CHF Swiss Franc: The EUR/CHF has fallen again to the SNB intervention levels of 1.08. The dollar has depreciated by more than 1%. Who has followed our blog, knows that the Franc is a proxy for global growth, in particular Emerging Markets. Today’s...
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