Brexit Limbo At present Theresa May is in talks with Jeremy Corbyn in order to try and come up with a mutually acceptable deal to put to Brussels. The problem is May can’t even get a deal that is acceptable within her own party let alone Labour as well. Her deal has been rejected three times and Brussels are stone walling us on the Irish border. Brussels have reiterated there will be no changes to the deal on the table...
Read More »Caixin Monthly Column: Brexit
(Here is the latest monthly column I write for Caixin. It is on Brexit and I wrote it as an email to my mother. Here is the link. The text follows) To: Mother Date: July 4, 2016 Subject: Re: Did you know Britain was leaving Europe? Should I worry? Glad to see you figured out how to access your email account. I smiled when I saw your note in my inbox. Thank you, though I am not sure that Thomas Watson felt the...
Read More »FX Weekly Preview: Sources of Movement
Summary: Electoral politics remains significant. BOE is likely to cut rates, while BoC may tilt more dovishly. US Q2 earnings season formally begins. Investors are under siege. A growing proportion of bonds in Europe and Japan offer negative yields. The German and Japanese curves are negative out 15-years, while one cannot find a positive yield among any tenor of Swiss government bonds. Despite a string of...
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