Summary: Sterling’s decline is not longer coinciding with lower rates. Sterling’s decline is boosting inflation expectations. If the inflation expectations are realized (Sept CPI next week), it will quickly erode what ever competitive gains there may have been. Something has changed with sterling. It is not just last week’s flash crash that seems now to be more of a mark down than fat-finger, liquidity or...
Read More »Great Graphic: What are UK Equities Doing?
Summary Domestic-oriented UK companies have been marked down. The outperformance by UK’s global companies is a negative view of sterling. The drop in interest rates is in anticipation of a recession and easier BOE policy. Some observers argue the media and some economists are exaggerating the impact of the UK vote a week ago. They talk about the petition for a second referendum. They about Scotland vetoing the...
Read More »