Click to see video. I was invited to appear on CNBC Asia Rundown show with Pauline Chiou. We discuss the Chinese yuan on the anniversary of last summer’s unexpected devaluation. I suggest that most of the things that get observers excited, like the internationalization of the yuan, or the Hong Kong-Shanghai link or, perhaps by the end of the year,a Hong Kong-Shenzhen link are really Chinese machinations that...
Read More »Cool Video: Whirlwind Discussion; UK, Politics and the Dollar
Shortly before I was on Bloomberg TV today, Leadsom withdrew from the Tory leadership context, leaving May, who favored remaining the EU, as the likely successor of Cameron. Leadsom had been trailing May even before her controversial weekend comments. Sterling shot up to almost $1.3020, and as was the case last week, there appeared to be a wall of sterling sellers lurking there. Sterling was trading below $1.29...
Read More »Cool Video: Early Thoughts on Brexit Implications with FT’s John Authers
Click to see the video. About a dozen hours after it became clear that a slight majority of the British voters favored leaving the UK, the Financial Times’ John Authers visited me at Brown Brothers Harriman to discuss the initial implications. The situation is very fluid and there are many moving pieces. In Chinese, the characters for crisis are “danger” and “opportunity.” The danger component is the first cut...
Read More »Cool Video: Chandler at CNBC on Brexit
Click to see the video. I had the privilege to be on CNBC’s Trading Block show to discuss how the market is positioned for the UK referendum. The markets are strongly anticipating the UK to vote to stay in the EU, even though polls remain very tight. Given that leveraged participants and speculators have rallied sterling more than nine cents from last week’s lows. This makes us wary of the risk that...
Read More »Cool Video: Bloomberg Television–All about the Periphery
Click to see the video. I am in Boston to attend the Fixed Income Leaders Summit and was invited to join Alix Steel, Joe Weisenthal, and Scarlet Fu on Bloomberg TV. We talked about the peripheral in Europe, especially Portugal, Italy and Spain. Each has a pressing issue. In Portugal, yields have not fallen as much as in other peripheral countries. In Italy, they are belatedly addressing the recapitalization of...
Read More »Cool Video: Bloomberg Surveillance: Dollar to trend higher
Video, Chandler: Dollar Will Continue to Trend Higher, click to open Returning from a two-week business trip to Asia, I was invited to appear on Bloomberg Surveillance with Tom Keene and Francine Lacqua. Check out the video clip here. Key Points My key points include,the driver now is changing perceptions of the trajectory of Fed policy and the reemergence of divergence. I suggest that “real news” from the G7 meeting was not about intervention, as neither the US, Europe, nor...
Read More »Cool Video: CNBC Asia–Rare Double Feature
My two week trip to Asia is winding down. I had the privilege of being on CNBC in Asia earlier today and discussed the markets with Martin Soong from Singapore. There were two segments. The first segment (here) is about two minutes long and focuses on about Japan. The second segment (there) is 3.5 minutes long and discusses the Federal Reserve. Previous post
Read More »Cool Video: Chatting with Bloomberg’s Angie Lau in Hong Kong
As the second week of this Asian business trip gets underway, I am in Hong Kong. I was on Bloomberg TV in the Asian morning to discuss market developments with Angie Lau. The 4.5 minute discussion covers a number of topics, including the outlook for Fed policy, the BOJ, dollar outlook and game theory. Click here for the link. Previous post
Read More »Cool Video: Trump and the Dollar–Bloomberg TV
I was invited to discuss the potential impact of a Trump presidency on the US dollar with Bloomberg's with Joe Weisenthal, Oliver Renick, and Alix Steel on "What'd You Miss" show yesterday afternoon, Of course the topic lends itself to all sorts of partisanship. However, I put aside my own political axes and focused on two potential channels through which could impact the dollar. The first is through a foreign economic policy that undermines US treaty obligations under various trade...
Read More »Cool Video: Bloomberg TV Interview–Italian Banks and FOMC
I was a guest on "What'd You Miss" on Bloomberg TV this afternoon, shortly after the markets closed. Alix Steel, Joe Weisenthal, and Scarlet Fu, and I discussed two main issues. Click here to see the seven minute clip. The first was the EU's approval, finally, of the establishment of a "bad bank" in Italy. It will ostensibly help address the bad loan problem that has been one of the factors that have prevented a stronger recovery in the third largest country in the euro area. I...
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