High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with foreign exchange...
Read More »CHF traders take note – SNB Chair Jordan is speaking on Tuesday
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with foreign exchange...
Read More »While the focus was on Powell Tuesday there were also remarks from the ECB and SNB
Swiss National Bank Chair Jordan threatened FX intervention! A couple of posts from Tuesday ICYMI while Powell was hogging the spotlight: ECB Knot: ECB can be expected to keep raising rates for quite some time after March ECB can be expected to keep raising rates for quite some time after March And, SNB Chairman: We cannot rule out that we will have to tighten monetary policy again We can use interest rates but also sell foreign currencies to get the right monetary...
Read More »Week Ahead: Highlights include Fed, US CPI; ECB, BoE, SNB, Norges Bank
It is a huge week for major central bank policy announcements, where downshifts are expected from the Fed, ECB, BoE, SNB. Heading into the announcements, US CPI will help shape expectations. MON: UK GDP Estimate (Oct), Chinese M2/New Yuan Loans (Nov). TUE: OPEC MOMR; BoE Financial Stability Report; German CPI Final (Nov), UK Unemployment Rate (Oct)/Claimant Count (Nov), EZ ZEW (Dec), US CPI (Nov), Japanese Tankan (Q4), New Zealand Current Account (Q3). WED: FOMC...
Read More »Barclays forecasts EURCHF trading around parity for the next few quarters
This is via the folks at eFX. For bank trade ideas, check out eFX Plus. For a limited time, get a 7 day free trial, basic for $79 per month and premium at $109 per month. Get it here. Barclays Research discusses CHF outlook and targets EUR/CHF around 0.97, 0.97, 0.98, and 1.00 by end of Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 of next year respectively. “We expect CHF to remain at the higher end of its historical range, with EURCHF trading around parity for the next few quarters. CHF...
Read More »SNB’s Jordan: Monetary policy is is still expansionary
SNB’s Jordan, who has been chatting more in the NY session at least of late, is no the wires saying: monetary policy is a still expansionary we have most likely to adjust monetary policy again inflation is very thorny and there is still a risk that inflation will rise further inflation rate is above our target now. Expect it to be above our target if we don’t take that into account central banks around the world are now in a tightening cycle Yesterday Jordan said:...
Read More »SNB’s Jordan: Central Bank Independence is crucial to fight inflation effectively
SNB Jordan is on the wires speaks in general terms: Central bank independence is crucial to fight inflation effectively central banks could face political pressures to slow down or postpone interest rate hikes to tackle inflation central banks more politically vulnerable as inflation rises Comments outline reasons why central banks in general need to remain independent. Will be on alert for any comments on monetary policy. [embedded content]...
Read More »CHF traders – heads up for a SNB speaker Wednesday, 5 October 2022 – Maechler
Swiss National Bank monetary policymaker Andrea Maechler is speaking at 1130 GMT, at an event titled: After the interest rate change: high inflation, rising interest. How will it affect the Swiss economy? In September: SNB raises policy rate by 75 bps to 0.50%, as expected EUR/CHF has been recovering from its recent lows: . [embedded content]...
Read More »SNB’s Maechler: Rising rates was intended to send a clear signal on inflation
Comments from the SNB policymaker Declines to comment on further interest rate moves We see a weakening in the Swiss economy but no recession Acting now to make sure inflation doesn’t become entrenched Recent rise in franc helped dampen inflation The SNB is expected to rise 50 or 75 bps at the next meeting. [embedded content]...
Read More »Swiss National Bank meet this week, a 100bp rate hike on the table – CHF impact
SNB monetary policy meeting preview The SNB policy decision is due on Thursday (see for timings) Via MUFG Bank: CHF has been the top performing G10 currency so far this month as it has strengthened sharply against both the EUR (+2.2%) and USD (+1.5%). It has regained upward momentum against our equally-weighted basket of other G10 currencies after a period of consolidation at higher levels between July and August. The CHF’s renewed upward has once again coincided...
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