Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

As a small open economy with a safe-haven currency, Switzerland is strongly influenced by global economic fluctuations. Because of the safe-haven nature of the Swiss franc, the impact of declines in global demand on the Swiss economy tends to be reinforced by an appreciating currency. As a result, global economic downturns have repeatedly been followed by significant decreases in inflation.Given the strong influence of developments abroad on Swiss inflation, the SNB needs a monetary policy framework that allows for some flexibility in terms of accepted inflation rates. Accordingly, the SNB defines price stability as any inflation rate between 0% and 2%, and seeks to keep inflation within this range over the medium term. This has allowed the SNB to respond flexibly to shocks and

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

This paper presents an innovative method for measuring uncertainty via large language models (LLMs), which offer greater precision and contextual sensitivity than the conventional methods used to construct prominent uncertainty indices. By analysing newspaper texts with state-of-the-art LLMs, our approach captures nuances often missed by conventional methods. We develop indices for various types of uncertainty, including geopolitical risk, economic policy, monetary policy, and financial market uncertainty. Our findings show that shocks to these LLM-based indices exhibit stronger associations with macroeconomic variables, shifts in investor behaviour, and asset return variations than conventional indices, underscoring their potential for more accurately reflecting uncertainty.

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss

Required: These cookies (e.g. for storing your IP address) cannot be rejected as they are necessary to ensure the operation of the website. These data are not evaluated further.Analytics: If you consent to this category, data such as IP address, location, device information, browser version and site visitor behaviour will be collected. These data are evaluated for the SNB’s internal purposes and are kept for two years.Third-party: If you consent to this category, third-party services (used, for example, to add social multimedia content to the SNB’s website) will be activated which collect personal data, process these data, disclose them abroad – worldwide – and place cookies. The relevant data protection regulations are linked in the ‘Privacy statement for the website of the Swiss