Q3 growth figures were in line with our expectations and confirmed ongoing changes in the structure of the Chinese economy. Our forecast for Chinese GDP growth remains unchanged.Chinese GDP for Q3 2017 came in at Rmb21.2 trillion (USD3.2 trillion), growing by 6.8% y-o-y in real terms, slightly below the pace of expansion in the first half of the year (6.9%).Several points are worth highlighting.First, China’s economic transition is well underway. The tertiary sector, mainly services,...
Read More »PMI reports point to good second half for Chinese economy
October data suggests China continues to regain momentum, justifying our decision to raise our growth forecast for this year. But we still expect growth to slow in 2017.China’s purchasing manager indices (PMIs) rose strongly in October. Both the official and the Caixin manufacturing PMIs came in at 51.2 , reaching their highest levels since August 2014. The official non-manufacturing PMIs also rose noticeable in October. The strong figures indicate that the improving growth momentum in China...
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